Morning Wrap: ASX 200 Set to Climb, S&P 500 Soars on EU Tariff Postponement, Yields Drop Following Japan’s Debt Strategy

by admin

ASX 200 futures have risen by 51 points (+0.60%) as of 8:30 am AEST, indicating a positive start for Australian markets.

Key Highlights:

  • Major US indices rebounded sharply after the Memorial Day holiday, primarily influenced by President Trump’s delay in implementing EU tariffs and declining bond yields.
  • Bond yields softened as Japanese officials contemplated reducing debt issuance after recent market fluctuations.
  • Both Fisher & Paykel and Webjet Travel surpassed their FY25 earnings expectations.

Overnight Market Summary (28 May 2025):

  • US Indices:

    • S&P 500: 5,922 (+2.05%)
    • Dow Jones: 42,344 (+1.78%)
    • NASDAQ Comp: 19,199 (+2.47%)
    • Russell 2000: 2,090 (+2.48%)
  • Country Indices:
    • Canada: 26,269 (+0.75%)
    • China: 3,341 (-0.18%)
    • Germany: 24,226 (+0.83%)
    • Hong Kong: 23,382 (+0.43%)
    • India: 81,552 (-0.76%)
    • Japan: 37,724 (+0.51%)
    • United Kingdom: 8,778 (+0.69%)

Commodities and Currency Update:

  • Commodities (in USD):

    • Gold: $3,300.40 (0.00%)
    • Copper: $4.74 (+0.56%)
    • WTI Oil: $60.89 (-1.04%)
  • Currency:

    • AUD/USD: 0.6445 (-0.66%)
  • Cryptocurrency:
    • Bitcoin: $109,164 (-0.28%)
    • Ethereum: $4,139 (+4.12%)

US Sector Performance:

  • Consumer Discretionary: +3.04%
  • Information Technology: +2.55%
  • Communication Services: +2.14%
  • Industrials: +1.79%
  • Financials: +1.79%
  • Materials: +1.67%

The broad market in the US emerged positively with the S&P 500 recovering much of last week’s 2.6% decline, supported by the delayed EU tariff deadline and Japan’s potential bond issuance cut.

Stocks to Watch:

  • Nvidia could positively influence the market ahead of its earnings announcement, as investors have approximately $7 trillion in cash waiting to be deployed.
  • Tesla recently reported a significant drop in its European sales by 49% in April.
  • KFC’s parent company, Yum Brands, plans to invest £1.49 billion in the UK and Ireland, which is expected to create over 7,000 jobs.
  • Trump Media aims to raise $3 billion through equity and convertible debt for cryptocurrency investments.

Central Bank Insights:

  • Minneapolis Fed’s Kashkari indicated that current uncertainties in US trade and immigration could affect future Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is anticipated to reduce rates by an additional 25 basis points.

Tariff Insights:

  • Mexico is preparing for a review of the USMCA starting in September.
  • The EU intends to fast-track trade discussions with the US following Trump’s extension of tariff deadlines.

Economic Indicators:

  • China’s industrial profits rose by 3% in April due to government initiatives and demand for manufactured goods.
  • US consumer confidence surged to 98 in May, marking a significant increase due to reduced trade tensions.

ASX Expected Movers (28 May):

  • 4DS is responding to a query from ASX regarding a recent surge of 71% in its share price.
  • Fisher & Paykel’s FY25 NPAT was reported at NZ$377.2 million, exceeding guidance and consensus.
  • Goodman Group reaffirms its FY25 guidance, reporting a 4.5% year-on-year increase in net property income.

Broker Recommendations:

  • South32 downgraded to Neutral by Citi; price target adjusted to $3.40.
  • Telstra upgraded to Outperform by Macquarie Group; target raised to $5.28.

Important Upcoming Events:

The market will be watching for further developments as the ASX 200 aims to maintain upward momentum and remains close to all-time highs. Additionally, economic indicators such as Australian inflation rates and FOMC minutes may impact market sentiments throughout the trading day.

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