Morning Wrap: ASX 200 Poised for Gains, S&P 500 Recovers from Iranian Conflict Impacts, Tech and Lithium Shares Expected to Surge

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Market Overview: April 14, 2026

As of 8:30 AM AEST, ASX 200 futures have surged by 119 points (+1.33%), signalling a positive start for Australian markets.

Key Highlights:

  • US Markets Rebound: Major US indices, including the S&P 500, overcame initial declines, ending higher. The S&P 500 is now trading at levels not seen since before the onset of the Iran war, with a year-to-date gain of 0.20%.
  • Geopolitical Developments: Investor sentiment was boosted after reports indicated that Iran reached out to the Trump administration to negotiate a deal, easing some market tensions.
  • Oil Prices Spike: Brent crude increased 3.9% to approximately USD 98 per barrel after hitting session highs of 10.2%.
  • Resilience in Resource Stocks: Stocks related to rare earths and lithium witnessed substantial gains driven by price hikes from Chinese producers, US-Australia financing announcements, and rising Chinese lithium carbonate futures.
  • Tech Sector Recovery: Software stocks initiated a recovery with nearly a 5% rise; however, they remain 2% below their levels from two days ago.

Overnight Markets Snapshot:

Index Closing Value
S&P 500 6,886
Dow Jones 48,218
NASDAQ Composite 23,184
Russell 2000 2,670

Commodity and Currency Highlights:

Commodity/Currency Value
Gold 4,747.26
Copper 5.98
WTI Oil 99.08
AUD/USD 0.7099
Bitcoin (USD) 73,339
Ethereum (AUD) 3,189
US 10 Yr T-Bond 4.297
VIX 19.12

Sector Performance:

The US equity market saw various sectors react differently:

  • Financials
  • Information Technology: Strengthening due to software stocks rallying.
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Healthcare
  • Energy and Commodities: Particularly influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Energy Sector News:

Recent updates from the energy sector indicate:

  • A reported increase in shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with 34 vessels passing as per Trump.
  • OPEC’s latest monthly oil report indicates significant production drops in major oil-producing countries.
  • OPEC cut its Q2 demand forecast by 500,000 barrels per day due to the ongoing impact of the conflict in Iran.

Geopolitical Events Impacting Markets:

  • Following failed peace talks, the US military has blockaded all Iranian ports, though it will allow transit to non-Iranian destinations.
  • A proposed US moratorium on Iran’s uranium enrichment seeks to ease tensions but has met with limited collaboration from Iranian authorities.

Stock Insights:

Several noteworthy movements in individual stocks include:

  • Goldman Sachs reported Q1 revenues of USD 17.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14%. However, underperformance in fixed-income trading led to a stock price decline.
  • Oracle shares spiked 13% as optimism grows around AI infrastructure.
  • Intel has enjoyed a nine-day rally, adding over USD 100 billion in market value.
  • Conversely, airline stocks like Delta and American Airlines fell due to rising oil prices and operational disruptions.

Economic Indicators to Monitor:

  • Australia’s Consumer Confidence data is due at 10:30 AM AEDT.
  • Business Confidence figures will be released at 11:30 AM AEDT.
  • China’s Balance of Trade report at 1:00 PM AEDT, followed by the US PPI release at 10:30 PM AEDT.

ASX Today – Corporate Actions:

  • Cleanaway Waste Management has revised its FY26 EBIT guidance downward, indicating a potential impact from increased operational costs.
  • Westpac revealed stable lending and deposit growth in their recent trading update.

Broker Recommendations:

  • A2 Milk downgraded to Neutral by Citi with a revised target price.
  • EML Payments faced a similar downgrade from RBC.
  • Macquarie was upgraded by Morgan Stanley.

As markets respond to a mixed bag of economic indicators and geopolitical tensions, both local and global investors should stay attuned to changing dynamics, particularly in the tech and resource sectors.

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