Morning Wrap: ASX 200 Set for Decline, S&P 500 Steady, Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged with Two Cuts Anticipated by Year-End

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ASX Morning Wrap: Market Updates and Economic Insights

ASX 200 Futures: Down 20 points (-0.23%) as of 8:30 AM AEST.

Key Points:

  • US benchmark indices displayed mixed outcomes; the S&P 500 remained unchanged while the Nasdaq gained ground driven by technology stocks.
  • The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.50%, aligning with market predictions.
  • Economic outlooks from the Fed suggested potential rate cuts by year-end while also lowering GDP growth forecasts for 2025, alongside a rise in inflation predictions.

Overnight Summary (19 June 2025)

Here’s how the major indices and commodities fared:

Indices Value Change (%)
S&P 500 5,981 -0.03
Dow Jones 42,172 -0.10
NASDAQ Comp 19,546 +0.13
Russell 2000 2,113 +0.52

Country Indices

Country Value Change (%)
Canada 26,560 +0.07
China 3,389 +0.04
Germany 23,318 -0.50
Hong Kong 23,711 -1.12
India 81,445 -0.17
Japan 38,885 +0.90
UK 8,843 +0.11

Commodities (in USD)

Commodity Value Change (%)
Gold 3,375.00 -0.37
Copper 4.855 +1.36
WTI Oil 75.14 +0.40

Currency

  • AUD/USD: 0.6507 (+0.45%)

Cryptocurrency

Currency Value Change (%)
Bitcoin (USD) 105,152 +0.63
Ethereum (AUD) 3,899 +0.66

US Sectors Performance

Sector % Change
Information Technology +0.36
Utilities +0.25
Real Estate +0.14
Financials +0.01
Energy -0.68
Consumer Staples -0.10
Consumer Discretionary -0.18
Health Care -0.18
Materials -0.33
Communication Services -0.67

Market Analysis

  • The recent session showed a muted response, following the Fed’s announcement to keep rates steady. Market expectations for future rate cuts remain in focus.
  • Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding the Israel-Iran conflict, continue to impact trading dynamics, notably with energy stocks.

Corporate Updates

  • HomeCo Daily Needs REIT announced a portfolio gain of $142 million and maintained its FY25 guidance.
  • KMD Brands reported a sales slowdown, marking a decline from +0.5% in the first half to -1.9% in the second half.

What to Watch Today:

  • The ASX is likely to face modest declines for the third consecutive session, reflecting the broader trend observed in US markets. Focus will remain on economic updates and corporate earnings.
  • Key Economic Calendar:
    • 11:30 AM: Australia Unemployment Rate (May)
    • 9:00 PM: Bank of England Interest Rate Decision (anticipated hold at 4.25%).

Broker Moves

  • Centuria Office REIT downgraded to Sell from Hold.
  • Platinum Asset Management upgraded to Hold though target price was adjusted downwards.
  • Initiation of coverage on Sonic Healthcare with a Buy rating.

This summary encapsulates the critical market movements, economic indicators, and corporate actions impacting investors ahead of a new trading session. As always, stay informed and consider the broader implications of global economic events on Australian markets.

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