Crypto Rallies as US Treasury Secretary Signals Potential Early Tariff Agreements

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Cryptocurrency Market Overview

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a cautious upward trajectory, with Bitcoin recently rebounding from a dip. After trading at US$107,515 (AU$165,365) last Friday, Bitcoin (BTC) has surged nearly 4%, now valued at US$109,086 (AU$167,776). Ethereum (ETH) has also maintained resilience, trading above US$2,500 (AU$3,840) at US$2,570 (AU$3,952), reflecting a nearly 3% increase this week.

Several major cryptocurrencies, including Solana (SOL) and XRP, have reported gains, although Toncoin (TON) has retracted most of its recent advancements due to false reports regarding a UAE visa programme.

Market Sentiment Influences

The market has benefitted from positive remarks by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding tariff negotiations ahead of the 9 July deadline. Bessent indicated progress in discussions, particularly with the European Union, and warned that trading partners lagging in negotiations would receive a letter from President Trump urging immediate action.

Bessent was quoted saying, “President Trump will be sending letters to some of our trading partners stating that if you don’t move things along, then on August 1 you will revert to your April 2 tariff levels.” The potential for quick deals has buoyed market sentiment.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick elaborated, stating that the president is currently defining tariffs and trade agreements. In April, Trump announced a 10% base tariff on many countries but delayed further increases until 9 July, granting a temporary reprieve.

In a strong stance against companies aligning with what he termed “Anti-American policies of BRICS”, Trump expressed that these businesses would face additional tariffs.

Policy Changes and Bitcoin’s Position

The recent legislative actions in the US have also sparked interest in Bitcoin as a potential safe haven against inflation. On 3 July, Congress approved Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”, which he signed shortly after. The lack of explicit cryptocurrency provisions in the Act has nevertheless led the market to view it as a bullish indicator. Notably, this event inspired Elon Musk to announce the formation of a new political party.

Critics, including Jessica Riedl, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, have remarked on the fiscal implications of Trump’s administration. As reported by The Washington Post, Riedl pointed out that Trump has contributed significantly to national deficits, increasing borrowing and the potential for “money printing,” which ultimately weakens fiat currencies and enhances the appeal of capped supply cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Conclusion

The current crypto landscape reflects a blend of cautious recovery and moderate optimism, propelled by macroeconomic factors and policy developments. Bitcoin’s rise, along with gains in major altcoins like Ethereum, suggests that investors are responding favourably to market conditions influenced by US economic policies. As the July deadlines approach, the interplay between cryptocurrency value and economic sentiment will undoubtedly continue to unfold.

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