Morning Wrap: ASX 200 Poised for Recovery as S&P 500 and Nasdaq Rise Amid Trump-Powell Turbulence

by admin

Thursday Morning Market Wrap

ASX 200 futures are up 53 points (+0.62%) as of 8:30 AM AEST.

Overview:

  • The major US indices closed slightly higher, overcoming early session declines.
  • Key market drivers included emerging news regarding potential personnel changes in the US Federal Reserve, unexpected producer price data, ongoing discussions on tariffs, and mixed corporate earnings.
  • Today, Australian investors can anticipate quarterly results from several mining companies, including Genesis Minerals, Gold Road, and 29Metals.

Let’s delve into the details.

Overnight Market Summary

Thu 17 Jul 2025, 8:29 AM (AEST)

Major Indices Performance Index Value Change
S&P 500 6,264 +0.32%
Dow Jones 44,255 +0.53%
NASDAQ Composite 20,730 +0.25%
Russell 2000 2,227 +0.99%
Country Indices Performance Country Value Change
Canada 27,153 +0.37%
China 3,504 -0.03%
Germany 24,009 -0.21%
Hong Kong 24,518 -0.29%
India 82,634 +0.08%
Japan 39,663 -0.04%
United Kingdom 8,927 -0.13%
Commodities (USD) Overview Commodity Value Change
Gold 3,350.85 +0.78%
Copper 5.4869 -0.27%
WTI Oil 66.64 +0.17%
Currencies Overview Currency Value Change
AUD/USD 0.6528 +0.00%
Cryptocurrency Overview Cryptocurrency Value Change
Bitcoin (USD) 119,396 +1.74%
Ethereum (AUD) 5,180 +10.06%
Miscellaneous Item Value Change
US 10-Year T-Bond 4.455 -0.76%
VIX 17.16 -1.27%

US Sector Performance

Sector Overview Sector Change
Health Care +1.22%
Real Estate +1.07%
Financials +0.66%
Industrials +0.35%
Materials +0.30%
Information Technology +0.27%

Market Developments

  • US markets showed resilience after initially dipping, with the S&P 500 rebounding by 0.68% to close at its highest levels.
  • Speculation surrounding former President Trump’s potential dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell intensified market volatility.
  • Significant movements in stocks were noted, such as Nvidia’s CEO selling $37 million in shares.
  • Trump’s proposals regarding tariffs and his plans to facilitate increased access to private market investments for retirement plans were headline news.

Australian Market Insights

  • Australian deal-making reached its most robust first half since 2021.
  • Alcoa confirmed its Q2 EPS of $0.39, exceeding estimates.
  • Genesis Minerals reported significant gold production, surpassing guidance but noted cost escalations.
  • Gold Road’s production figures fell slightly short of expectations, indicating potential operational challenges.

What to Monitor Today

  • Expect additional quarterly results from mining firms, with mixed early indications from Genesis and Gold Road.
  • ASX 200 could see a bounce back following declines, influenced by drops in bond yields.
  • The uranium sector continues to experience upward momentum, led by the Global X Uranium ETF.

Broker Actions

  • Breville Group upgraded to Buy with a target of $35.50.
  • Coles upgraded to Neutral; target maintains at $20.00.
  • IGO downgraded from Buy to Neutral; target cut to $4.00.
  • Plans for Virgin Australia initiated as a Buy with targets between $3.60 and $3.90.

Key Events

  • Ex-dividend: WAM Global on Thu 17 Jul, $0.04.
  • Economic Indicators (AEST): Expected announcements related to Japan’s Balance of Trade, Australia’s Unemployment rate, UK Unemployment, and US Retail Sales later today.

Stay tuned for further updates as the market evolves!

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