The dollar’s war premium is diminishing, much to the delight of emerging markets: Today’s Chart

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US Dollar Index Plummets: A Shift in Market Sentiment

The US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) is experiencing a steep decline, shedding the "war premium" accrued during the recent conflict in Iran. This fall marks its potential for the most significant drop of the year, erasing gains made since early March. Concurrently, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has completely negated its 2026 progression.

This substantial shift is positively impacting risk assets, particularly in foreign markets that suffered as the dollar climbed from its January lows. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is poised for its most significant increase since the "Liberation Day" rally on April 9, 2025.

Broad Gains Across Emerging Markets

The upward trend is widespread across various nations. South Korea (EWY) leads the gains among country-specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with an impressive increase of over 10%. Other countries such as Chile (ECH) and Taiwan (EWT) follow closely, rising by 7% and more than 5%, respectively. Similarly, Turkey (TUR), the UAE (UAE), Mexico (EWW), Japan (EWJ), and India (INDA) are all witnessing notable gains, exceeding the 5% mark.

Commodities Rally

In addition to equity markets, commodities are also benefiting from this dollar decline. Gold (GC=F) and copper (HG=F) futures have risen about 3%, while silver (SI=F) and platinum (PL=F) have seen substantial increases of 7%.

Essentially, the dollar has shifted from being a "wrecking ball" for global risk assets to a stabilising force, at least for the time being.

For further insights into stock market trends and financial updates, include your sources of information.


Jared Blikre serves as the global markets and data editor for Yahoo Finance. You can follow him on X at @SPYJared or contact him via email.

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