Universal Music shares surge as Bill Ackman announces plans for $64 billion acquisition and US listing

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Bill Ackman’s Bold Move for Universal Music Group

Bill Ackman, the head of Pershing Square Capital Management, has made a significant proposal to acquire Universal Music Group (UMG), home to global sensations like Taylor Swift, Drake, and Bad Bunny. The suggested deal, which amounts to around $64 billion, would see UMG merge with Pershing Square SPARC Holdings, creating a new entity dubbed "New UMG." This new corporation would be registered with the SEC in Nevada and listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), adhering to US GAAP standards.

Following the announcement, UMG’s stock surged by 13%, a demonstration of investor optimism regarding the deal. Pershing Square currently holds a 4.74% stake in UMG, making it the music label’s fourth-largest shareholder.

In a letter addressed to UMG’s board, Ackman contended that the company’s present valuation does not reflect its achievements. He noted that while UMG has seen strong business performance, with revenues increasing by 60% since 2021, its share price has actually fallen by 23% during the same timeframe. He expressed concern that these fluctuations stem from factors unrelated to the core business of music, pointing to technical issues and the postponement of UMG’s US listing as key contributors.

Ackman is advocating for UMG’s shift to the NYSE, which he believes would qualify the company to be considered for major US indices like the S&P 500. Inclusion in these indices could lead to significant investment from large funds, essentially boosting the stock’s value.

The proposal outlines that shareholders would receive €5.05 per share in cash, equating to a total payout of €9.4 billion, alongside 0.77 shares of "New UMG" for each existing share they hold. Ackman estimates that the full package is worth roughly €30.40 per share, representing a striking 78% premium over UMG’s closing price on April 2.

To finance the acquisition, Pershing Square plans to contribute €2.5 billion, with an additional €1.5 billion expected from the sale of UMG’s stake in Spotify. This move is designed to benefit UMG artists, who are anticipated to receive €750 million from the Spotify transaction as part of an "artist-centric model."

Beyond the financial aspects, Ackman has plans for a leadership overhaul, introducing Disney’s former president Michael Ovitz as chairman. Ackman points to Ovitz’s long-standing relationship with UMG CEO Sir Lucian Grainge as a vital asset for guiding the new company through challenges posed by AI and the streaming landscape.

Additionally, the strategy for New UMG would pivot to favour aggressive share repurchases and strategic acquisitions. Ackman projects that the company could generate €15 billion in cash over the next five years, fuelling its expansion plans.

The proposal currently remains non-binding and would require a two-thirds majority from UMG shareholders for it to proceed. Should it receive approval, Ackman anticipates the deal could be finalised by the end of 2026.

In summary, this ambitious acquisition proposal signifies a transformative approach for UMG, aiming to elevate its status within the market while creating substantial value for its shareholders and artists alike.

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